Blizzard, our 2 stage, 18 factor model ranks first basket probabilities and calculates fair odds for every projected starter in May 15th games. Updated very 15 minutes to accomodate for lineup changes. Blizzard ranks most likely first basket picks to least likely below.
| # | Player | Probability | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE J. Allen C | 19.54% | +412 |
| 2 | CLE E. Mobley PF | 15.02% | +566 |
| 3 | DET C. Cunningham PG | 11.94% | +737 |
| 4 | CLE D. Mitchell SG | 11.32% | +783 |
| 5 | DET T. Harris PF | 9.45% | +958 |
| 6 | DET J. Duren C | 8.96% | +1016 |
| 7 | DET D. Robinson SG | 7.90% | +1166 |
| 8 | CLE D. Wade SF | 6.79% | +1373 |
| 9 | DET A. Thompson SF | 4.61% | +2069 |
| 10 | CLE J. Harden PG | 4.47% | +2136 |
| # | Player | Probability | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAS V. Wembanyama C | 23.59% | +324 |
| 2 | MIN A. Edwards SG | 12.07% | +729 |
| 3 | SAS S. Castle SG | 11.13% | +798 |
| 4 | SAS D. Vassell SF | 10.77% | +829 |
| 5 | SAS D. Fox PG | 10.31% | +870 |
| 6 | MIN J. Randle PF | 10.11% | +889 |
| 7 | MIN J. McDaniels SF | 8.46% | +1082 |
| 8 | SAS J. Champagnie PF | 4.99% | +1905 |
| 9 | MIN A. Dosunmu PG | 4.75% | +2005 |
| 10 | MIN R. Gobert C | 3.83% | +2510 |